Skip to main content
LoginOpens in new window
  1. Home
  2. Insights and Research
Global Macro Research
Global Macro Research

How should investors navigate economic and political uncertainty?

In our latest Macro Bytes podcast abrdn's economists discuss the use of scenario analysis to help navigate uncertainty.

Authors
Paul Diggle
Chief Economist
Luke Bartholomew
Deputy Chief Economist

Duration: 26 mins

Date: 19 Apr 2024

The global macroeconomic and geopolitical environment is filled with risks around inflation, interest rates, and instability in the Middle East. Paul Diggle and Luke Bartholomew discuss how scenario analysis can help investors to navigate uncertainty. They also consider the Bernanke review of the Bank of England’s forecasting process, which includes a recommendation to make greater use of scenarios.
Related Stories
How could stablecoins reshape the global financial system?
How much infrastructure does the world need?
Is the Big Beautiful Bill a step too far for bond markets?
Has Javier Milei's shock therapy worked for Argentina?
So was the trade war all just a fever dream?

Related articles

Global Macro Research35 min Read

How could stablecoins reshape the global financial system?

Stablecoins may be reshaping the digital payments landscape and could soon influence everything from US debt markets to monetary policy. Paul and Luke investigate.

Global Macro Research1 min Read

Japan continuity despite an election setback

Japan’s ruling coalition lost its majority in the upper house, weakening PM Shigeru Ishiba’s leadership. The outcome threatens the domestic policy agenda, complicates the trade talks with the US, and could trigger near-term bouts of market turmoil. But the longer-term outlook for Japanese assets looks stable.

Global Macro Research1 min Read

Is China selling its US Treasuries?

After accounting for the use of custodians and acknowledging the role of state-owned enterprises, there seems to be limited evidence of China actively reducing its exposure to US assets. That said, holdings as a share of foreign assets may have been falling, while opportune sales could occur in an attempt to recruit ‘bond vigilantes’ and moderate US trade policy.

Global Macro Research19 min Read

How much infrastructure does the world need?

In this new episode, we explore the staggering global infrastructure investment needs over the next 25 years, why the bill is so high, and how governments and private investors might share the load.

Global Macro Research3 min Read

The Monthly Macro Outlook Video June 2025

What’s driving the latest surge in US deficit projections? Lizzy Galbraith highlights the fiscal and trade policy shifts that could reshape the global economic outlook.

View all articles