Global Macro Research
MacroeconomicsMonthly Macro Outlook Video - September 2026
What could break the AI trade and reshape the global outlook?
Author
Paul Diggle
Chief Economist
Duração: 9 Mins
Date: 22/09/2026
Investors are grappling with a complicated mix of geopolitical tensions, stubborn inflation and rapid technological change.
Markets remain resilient, but the forces driving growth are also creating new risks. In this month's video, Chief Economist Paul Diggle examines the key scenarios that could shape the global economy over the months ahead, from developments in the Middle East to the future of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.
In the video, Paul discusses:
In the video, Paul discusses:
- Why oil remains one of the most important variables for the global economy, and how events in the Middle East could affect inflation, growth and financial markets.
- Why central banks may not be finished with interest rate hikes, despite years of monetary tightening.
- What's really driving the rise in government bond yields, and why investors are demanding greater compensation for holding long-term debt.
- How the AI investment boom is supporting growth today, while also creating a significant downside risk if expectations prove too optimistic.
Watch the video for more details.
